Technology Horizon Scanning

To mitigate technological surprise, the United States Department of Defense (DOD) mathematically analyzes a range of possible permutations of technology advances. "Technological Horizon Scanning," as it is known, assumes that the greater the distance between any two fields – say, computational quantum mechanics and weather risk indexing – the more unlikely their combination and the larger the impact of a possible fusion.

By aggregating and visualizing forecasts and drawing from over a 100,000 sources a day, Recorded Future helped DOD quickly narrow the scope of its verification as well as to indicate a necessary adjustment of methodology. Instead of creating possible technological permutations, DOD could compare predictions and track the creation of a new discipline.

Type of content: Assets
Type of asset:
Use case
Big data potential
Yes
Policy domains: Innovation, Science & Technology
Phase in the policy cycle:
Policy Design and Analysis
Open license availability
No
Ease of use
High
Tags: Smart City Smart Government Strategic planning

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