Technology Horizon Scanning
To mitigate technological surprise, the United States Department of Defense (DOD) mathematically analyzes a range of possible permutations of technology advances. "Technological Horizon Scanning," as it is known, assumes that the greater the distance between any two fields – say, computational quantum mechanics and weather risk indexing – the more unlikely their combination and the larger the impact of a possible fusion.
By aggregating and visualizing forecasts and drawing from over a 100,000 sources a day, Recorded Future helped DOD quickly narrow the scope of its verification as well as to indicate a necessary adjustment of methodology. Instead of creating possible technological permutations, DOD could compare predictions and track the creation of a new discipline.